Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.509856 0.569533 0.634139 0.709399 0.794813 0.888914 1.000671
2025-02-16 0.421694 0.504303 0.600807 0.722397 0.872245 1.051819 1.284721
2025-02-23 0.373750 0.466903 0.581193 0.732766 0.930052 1.180237 1.524864
2025-03-02 0.327820 0.423993 0.546704 0.716328 0.947174 1.253903 1.698213
2025-03-09 0.302960 0.404016 0.537509 0.728991 1.000259 1.376318 1.946818
2025-03-16 0.276005 0.377840 0.516432 0.721698 1.022861 1.456242 2.141245
2025-03-23 0.257702 0.361414 0.506513 0.727927 1.063645 1.564105 2.386724
2025-03-30 0.237339 0.340015 0.487209 0.717858 1.078017 1.632247 2.576214
2025-04-06 0.221032 0.323001 0.472554 0.712821 1.098585 1.710455 2.788753
2025-04-13 0.200487 0.297986 0.443802 0.683153 1.076809 1.717856 2.881842
2025-04-20 0.191292 0.289498 0.439463 0.691360 1.116545 1.828981 3.165485
2025-04-27 0.182258 0.280517 0.433521 0.696156 1.150487 1.932718 3.446745
2025-05-04 0.173295 0.271236 0.426743 0.699541 1.183270 2.039348 3.749976
2025-05-11 0.164928 0.262347 0.419961 0.702349 1.215306 2.147925 4.071070
2025-05-18 0.158989 0.256974 0.418488 0.714002 1.263914 2.291226 4.478247
2025-05-25 0.148612 0.243428 0.402171 0.697785 1.259193 2.332389 4.680083
2025-06-01 0.143932 0.239271 0.401678 0.710121 1.309399 2.485034 5.137268
2025-06-08 0.136494 0.229827 0.391221 0.703032 1.321054 2.561358 5.436745
2025-06-15 0.131645 0.224618 0.387916 0.709082 1.359059 2.695066 5.882825
2025-06-22 0.124840 0.215486 0.376878 0.699305 1.363934 2.759284 6.175119
2025-06-29 0.119213 0.208152 0.368672 0.694413 1.378371 2.845258 6.530757
2025-07-06 0.110782 0.195197 0.349193 0.665600 1.339781 2.810553 6.583728
2025-07-13 0.107677 0.191976 0.347923 0.673572 1.380901 2.958945 7.120475